Saturday, 31 May 2025

Chase Day 4 - north central Oklahoma

SAT 31 MAY

I think it's fair to say that with each set of new data (models and observations) that today looked less likely to produce much in the way of severe convection, with an increasingly late initiation. We left Amarillo (TX) with a target of Medicine Lodge (KS), stopping at the Twister museum in Wakita (OK) en-route. I've been to this museum a couple of times before in the past, but there was the addition of props and memorabilia from the 2024 Twisters movie now added to the collection too!


We arrived at Medicine Lodge by late afternoon and sat by the lake watching convection bubbling along a S'ward moving cold front, gradually gaining some height/depth. Because it was hot (low 30s Celsius), cloud bases were fairly high. A cell went up more-or-less overhead and we soon had large drops of rain falling in the vicinity. We nudged south over the Oklahoma border to Alva to keep ahead of this slowly developing cluster of thunderstorms. Towards sunset it became clear that these storms were struggling to produce much aside from a few lightning strikes, some brief heavy rain and gusty winds, so we opted to find a hotel in Ponca City (OK) and enjoy some occasional lightning strikes on our journey there - although the frequency was on a par with UK standards quite frankly!

SPC forecast issued 16:30Z 31 May 2025


View looking NW at developing convection over Medicine Lodge (KS)

On it from initiation!

Sub-severe thunderstorms to the NE of Alva (OK)

Friday, 30 May 2025

Day 3 - Roswell NM

FRI 30 MAY

Since the cold front, and associated Gulf moisture, had been scoured to the south, there wasn't much opportunity for severe thunderstorms across the Plains today. Given a marginal risk of isolated strong storms over the high terrain in New Mexico, after bumping into Simon Lee at our hotel, we decided to amble westwards to Roswell (NM) and take in the alien sights. After grabbing some lunch, we drifted west to watch a couple of (reasonably weak) storms over the Sacramento mountains before driving a few hours back into Texas to a hotel in Amarillo, to be in a better position for the following day's storm potential.

SPC forecast issued 16:30Z 30 May 2025




Thursday, 29 May 2025

Chase Day 2 - West Texas

THU 29 MAY

After our overnight stay in Perryton (TX) we headed south through the TX panhandle, stopping at Buc-ee's in Amarillo (TX) en-route to our target of Brownfield (TX). After lunch, we ambled west to watch convection bubbling along an effective cold front stretched west-east to our north.

SPC forecast issued 16:30Z 29 May 2025

Quick stop at Buc-ee's Amarillo

Eventually three cells developed, with strong inflow winds developing in our vicinity. We noticed two short-lived landspouts, revealed by dust circulating around their surface rotation. Eventually the three storms congealed into one large supercell that began to make better progress SE'wards, whipping up an incredible amount of dust. Another, slightly longer-lasting landspout became visible a short distance to the SE of Brownfield, again largely visible courtesy of the significant amounts of dust rotating around its lower circulation. 

Watching a cluster of supercells mid-afternoon near Needmore (TX). Credit Chris Bell

Texas Tech University doppler on wheels near Needmore (TX)

Ground circulation a few miles SE of Brownfield

Circulation filmed by Morrie Gooch

Eventually this storm became so shrouded in dust and precipitation that it became impossible to see any notable structure, other than just a wall of brown/black covering most of our northern sky - it was incredibly dark given the time of day (17:00 local). We trundled SE'wards to keep ahead of this storm... it became tornado-warned, although its presentation on radar looked rather messy and dust/precip wrapped. 

A number of other storm chasers on Highway 137 between Brownfield and Lamesa, plunged into darkness by a wall of rain, hail and lifted dust. Credit Morrie Gooch

We decided that it was unlikely that this storm would produce a highly visible / photogenic tornado given it was very outflow-dominant and had consumed so much dust, so instead we opted to park up on the outskirts of Lamesa underneath an agricultural hangar to let the storm pass over us. Within minutes the winds significantly whipped up, with torrential rain and hail lashing the side and roof of the hangar, and occasionally the car as the wind direction kept changing within the broader circulation of the storm. 

Radarscope screenshot as the tornado-warned storm approached us on the south side of Lamesa
Wind, rain and hail just south of Lamesa filmed by Berni King


Screenshot from the NWS Damage Assessment toolkit on 30 May, highlighting two confirmed EF-1 tornadoes either side of Lamesa - our location, whilst the storm was moving over us, is denoted by the filled red circle. Given the reported end and start time of tornado #1 and #2, an approximate timeline for the mesocyclone tracking through Lamesa is given by the white boxes putting it closest to us between 18:37 to 18:39, roughly the same time we noticed the sudden change in air pressure.


The nearby mesonet station at Lamesa recorded a wind gust of 77 mph and just over an inch of rain. Perhaps more fascinating was the sudden changes in air pressure as the mesocyclone moved overhead, inducing a noticeable pressure sensation in our heads and ears, that kept waxing and waning with each wave of strong winds/heavy rain - akin to rapidly ascending/descending in a plane... I've never felt anything like it with a storm before. The mesonet station recorded a pressure range of 6 hPa over a 40 minute period.

Lamesa (TX) West Texas Mesonet station plot

Once the storm had passed we tried to catch up with a separate tornado-warned storm to the west of Abilene (TX), but it began to weaken / become outflow-dominant before we reached it, so in the end we gave up and grabbed some food and a hotel for the night in Sweetwater (TX). New, sub-severe cells developed nearby/overhead, and produced some decent CG lightning whilst we sat and ate dinner. All-in-all a decent chase day, enhanced by an excellent road network in this part of west Texas which enabled us to keep relatively close to the storm with lots of exit options.


Wednesday, 28 May 2025

Chase Day 1 - SW Kansas into OK Panhandle

WED 28 MAY 

We left our hotel in Loveland (CO) reasonably early to drive quite a few hours to our target of Syracuse (KS), after picking up some lunch (and a weather radio!) en-route in Lamar (CO). Convection was already bubbling nicely across SE Colorado and SW Kansas upon our arrival to Syracuse, so we nudged south to Johnson (KS) to take a closer look. A nice left-split supercell evolved just to our NW with a high base, and shot off to the ENE at a reasonable speed, while the remaining cluster between Johnson and Manter (KS) appeared slower moving and rather messy. A brief tornado was reported NW of Menard, but we couldn't see it from our location (most likely obscured by rain from our vantage point). After some back and forth to try and work out which storm would be best to track, a degree of upscaling occurred and it became a case of trying to get ahead of this SE'ward advancing cluster of storms, with embedded very large hail and rotation evident on radar.

SPC forecast issued 16:30Z 28 May 2025
 


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Tuesday, 27 May 2025

Day 0

TUE 27 MAY

We travelled from London Heathrow to Denver (CO), flying through a thunderstorm as we approached for landing at DIA. A small delay to disembark whilst ground crew were sheltering from lightning, before we picked up the hire vehicle and headed north to our overnight stay in Loveland (CO), stopping at the newest Buc-ee's in the US en-route.

Visiting Buc-ee's in Johnstown (CO)
Visiting Buc-ee's in Johnstown (CO)
Landing at DIA through a thunderstorm - credit Chris Bell